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This is an ‘html-only’ version of Scribblings with no database behind it. This means it is not possible to search it. I am working on a new version with which I am hoping to eventually put back into the main site. The new version is here but please note that there is no link directly back to the main site.

Monday, 11th April 2005

Education and statistics

I have just heard Stephen Twigg, Minister of State for School Standards, on Radio 4’s Today programme attempting to defend the government’s record on education. The current situation is that 20% of children, at age 11, do not reach Level 4 in their SATs.

Fact is that the SATs were never designed to do otherwise. Level 4 is the level which the average child is expected to reach. That 20% of children do not reach level 4 is down to the nature of averages and not to any problem with the education system. There may be a problem with the system but these statistics are not a symptom of it. I once heard Norman Tebbit, I think it was, on the same programme many years ago bemoaning the fact that over 50% of children were merely average. For heavens sake, of course they are. The very definition of “average”, assuming a bell curve of abilities, means that 50% of children will be above average while 50% will be below.

The real problem then is the politician’s and the public’s lack of understanding of simple statistics. I find it hard to believe that Twigg himself does not understand it. It’s more likely that he’s afraid of trying to explain it in case his opponents accuse him of making excuses. Perhaps he should try though. To try to explain an apparent problem is not the same as making an excuse. Why not give it a try, Stephen? That only 20% of children do not reach Level 4 may be an indication of success rather than failure.

Posted 11 April 2005, 07:52
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An apology

Since moving the site to a new server Scribblings is not as easy to find your way around as it used to be. It used to depend on a script and a database on the server but is currently served as ‘flat html’.

I have some ideas about how to make it a bit easier but they depend on writing another script. I hope to get around to it ‘eventually’.

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